Analysis :

Market Structure

• Current Trend : BTC is in a range-bound market with a potential shift in order flow.

Recent High & Low

• Swing High : Around $85,300 (liquidity zone)
• Swing Low : Near $80,000 (potential demand zone)
• Internal Structure : Price is consolidating between a premium supply zone and a discount demand zone.

Liquidity Zones

Buy-Side Liquidity

Located above $85,300, where liquidity is trapped from short-sellers’ stop losses.

If price breaks above, a liquidity grab (fakeout) may occur before a reversal or continuation.

Sell-Side Liquidity

Found below $80,000, where long positions have stop losses.

If price sweeps this area, it could trigger a liquidity grab before a bullish move.

Order Blocks

Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone)

$85,000 - $85,300 → Last up move before a strong decline.

If price returns to this level and shows weakness, expect a rejection.

If BTC breaks above this OB with momentum, it could lead to a market structure shift (MSS) bullish.

Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone)

$80,000 - $81,000 → Last down move before a rally.

If price taps this OB with bullish confirmations (e.g., a wick rejection), it could signal long entries.

Possible Trade Setups

Bearish Scenario (Liquidity Grab at Supply Zone)

• Entry : Short from $85,000 - $85,300 (after liquidity grab)
• Target : $81,000 - $80,000 (sell-side liquidity sweep)
• Stop Loss : Above $85,500
• Confirmation : Weak reaction at supply zone, rejection wicks, or shift in order flow.

Bullish Scenario

• Entry : Long from $80,000 - $81,000 (demand zone bounce)
• Target : $84,500 - $85,000 (fill FVG & retest supply)
• Stop Loss : Below $79,500
• Confirmation : Bullish order block reaction, liquidity sweep & shift in market structure (higher highs).

Conclusion

• Bearish bias unless $85,300 is broken convincingly.
• Liquidity grab scenarios likely before trend continuation.
• Key decision point: $85,000 supply zone & $80,000 demand zone.

Happy Trading!